G Guru DNA Investor Style
Q1 2026 · 13F
GURU PROFILE · Q1 2026 · 13F-HR Standard
AW

Adam Wyden — concentrated value contrarian

Adam Wyden runs ADW Capital as a highly concentrated, high-conviction investor. The book is deeply concentrated and active, low on quality scores and aggressive in risk.

ADW Capital Management
Positions
8
Avg Annual Return, 5 yr
−9,0%
Alpha vs S&P 500, Annual
−27,5%
Max Drawdown
−47,6%
Sharpe (5 yr)
−0,19

DNA Fingerprint

6 axes · Q1 2026
255075100VALUE53RISK92CONCENTRATION91TURNOVER98QUALITY4CONTRARIAN5
Q1 2026 (latest)

Style Traits

  • Value Value / Growth
    53 −42 since Q1 2025

    Growth Value

  • Risk Risk Appetite
    92 −5 since Q1 2025

    Low High

  • Concentration Portfolio Focus
    91 −4 since Q1 2025

    Diversified Focused

  • Turnover Trading Activity
    98 +37 since Q1 2025

    Long-term Active

  • Quality Profitability
    4 +3 since Q1 2025

    Speculative Profitable

  • Contrarian Contrarianism
    5 −86 since Q1 2025

    With Crowd Against Crowd

Methodology

Each axis is a percentile rank from 0 to 100 relative to the profiled guru cohort; 50 is the cohort midpoint. The higher the value, the stronger the trait. The dashed overlay is the median shape of the guru's behavioral peer group, so you can read where this investor is unusual within their own style. The Trajectory arrows trace the drift from four quarters ago to now — an illustration of the method over a short window, not a statistical claim.

  • Value (Value / Growth) — how cheaply the portfolio's stocks are priced versus the market, by valuation multiples (e.g. price-to-earnings). A higher score means cheaper, value-style picks; a lower score means pricier, growth-style bets the market expects to grow fast.
  • Risk (Risk Appetite) — how much price volatility and business fragility the portfolio carries. A higher score means bolder, more volatile holdings (think biotech or meme stocks); a lower score means defensive, steady names like utilities and staples.
  • Concentration (Portfolio Focus) — how much of the portfolio sits in its few largest positions. A higher score means a focused book of big convictions; a lower score means bets spread thinly across many names.
  • Turnover (Trading Activity) — how much the lineup of holdings changes from one quarter to the next. A higher score means an active trader rotating names in and out; a lower score means a patient, buy-and-hold roster.
  • Quality (Profitability) — how profitable and financially solid the businesses in the portfolio are. A higher score means durable, profitable companies; a lower score means speculative or pre-profit bets.
  • Contrarian (Contrarianism) — how often the guru's trades go against what the other gurus are doing. A higher score means buying what the crowd sells and vice versa; a lower score means moving with the consensus.

Extended DNA

Beyond the radar's six: two further behavioral reads — whether new buys add to existing holdings or start fresh, and the size of companies the book favors — on the same 0–100 cohort-percentile scale.

  • Follow-On Buying — Of the quarter's buys, the share that add to tickers already held rather than open fresh positions. A higher score means doubling down on existing convictions; a lower score means spreading into new bets.
  • Size Bias — Whether the book tilts toward large, easy-to-trade companies or smaller, thinly-traded ones — gauged from each holding's trading liquidity, which stands in for company size rather than measuring market cap directly. A higher score means large, liquid mega-caps; a lower score means smaller, less-liquid names.
  • Conviction Follow-On Buying
    13 −18 since Q1 2025

    New bets Adds to conviction

  • Size Size Bias
    20 +15 since Q1 2025

    Small-cap Large-cap

DNA Anomalies

2 deviations · basis Q1 2024–Q4 2025
GURU PATTERNBOUGHT · LARGERSOLD · LARGERSOLD · SMALLERBOUGHT · SMALLERsoldboughtlargersmallerAPGGFLSTGWTIC
Dot colour — type of deviationConcentration / contrarianMomentumOther positions (no deviation)5% of portfolio
What deviated from pattern
APGSTGW
APi Group Corporation · Stagwell Inc.
Quality: a sharp shift toward profitable names — 2.2σ above its 9-quarter norm (2→4). Led by APG, STGW.
GFLTIC
GFL Environmental Inc. · TIC Solutions, Inc.
Contrarian index: a notable shift closer to the crowd — 1.8σ below its 8-quarter norm (70→5). Led by APG, GFL, TIC.

Backtest · Cost of Delay

real 13F delay vs S&P 500
Cost of Delay

Copying with the real 13F publication delay costs  9,0 pp of return over 2 years.

Guru (2 years)
−18,6%
Copier (13F)
−27,6%
S&P 500
+44,6%
60801001201408172145Q2 ’24Q3 ’24Q4 ’24Q1 ’25Q2 ’25Q3 ’25Q4 ’25Q1 ’26Q2 ’26DELAY SPREAD

Managers with assets above $100M disclose positions in Form 13F-HR within 45 days after quarter end. The backtest runs three $100,000 portfolios: the guru rebalances at quarter-end prices, the copier mirrors the same weights on the actual filing date, and S&P 500 is the benchmark.

The hatched area is the cost of delay: the difference in cumulative returns between the guru and the copier in percentage points. The delay is not always a disadvantage — if a stock fell between quarter end and the filing date, the copier buys in cheaper.

The guru curve is also a model: 13F shows only long positions in US equities at quarter end, without intra-quarter trades, shorts, or cash. Commissions, slippage, and taxes are not accounted for.

Notable Signals

synthesis metrics
Size × Conviction
CODI

Compass Diversified — a small-cap in the top 3

A 16.8% small-cap stake means liquidity risk taken on by conviction.

Killer signal
Size × Conviction
STGW

Stagwell Inc. — a small-cap in the top 5

A 14.7% small-cap stake means liquidity risk taken on by conviction.

Killer signal
Identity × Action

Tilting growthier than usual

Value tilt moved 74→53 this quarter — 22 points off the book's multi-quarter identity.

Out of character
This quarter
DRVN

Adding to Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

+19.6pp in DRVN this quarter — the book's largest single weight change.

Big move
Single-name conviction
APG

APi Group Corporation anchors the book at 23.3%

A 23.3% weight in a single name — concentration that makes APG the book's center of gravity.

Conviction

Top 8 Positions

of 8 · Q1 2026
Ticker Company Δ for quarter Weight
APG APi Group Corporation −19,1
23,3%
DRVN Driven Brands Holdings Inc. +19,6
19,6%
CODI Compass Diversified +16,8
16,8%
GFL GFL Environmental Inc. −16,0
16,4%
STGW Stagwell Inc. +14,7
14,7%
PAR PAR Technology Corporation −9,9
6,3%
TIC TIC Solutions, Inc. −5,5
2,8%
KELYA Kelly Services, Inc. +0,1
0,1%